West Virginia
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
51  Jillian Forsey JR 19:48
161  Maggie Drazba JR 20:12
252  Amy Cashin JR 20:26
474  Brianna Kerekes SR 20:53
502  Megan Yuan SR 20:56
595  Brynn Harshbarger JR 21:05
701  Olivia Hill FR 21:12
1,077  Candace Jones FR 21:37
1,306  Rebecca Wendt JR 21:51
1,916  Allie Diehl JR 22:28
National Rank #37 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #4 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 41.8%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 5.9%


Regional Champion 1.1%
Top 5 in Regional 91.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jillian Forsey Maggie Drazba Amy Cashin Brianna Kerekes Megan Yuan Brynn Harshbarger Olivia Hill Candace Jones Rebecca Wendt Allie Diehl
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 624 20:00 20:13 20:17 20:42 20:27 21:17 21:17 21:22 21:51 22:35
Penn State National Open 10/14 762 20:11 20:10 20:28 20:52 21:14 20:59 21:11 21:35 21:44 22:23
Big 12 Championship 10/29 663 19:31 20:13 20:22 20:45 20:56 21:10 21:18 22:05 21:44 22:36
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 711 19:31 20:07 20:32 21:39 21:00 21:11 21:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 41.8% 25.7 603 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.9 2.7 4.4 5.2 4.8 4.9 3.3
Region Championship 100% 4.0 113 1.1 13.8 19.1 25.1 32.0 7.1 1.6 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jillian Forsey 98.8% 56.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.1
Maggie Drazba 66.7% 121.0
Amy Cashin 47.5% 161.0
Brianna Kerekes 41.9% 216.7
Megan Yuan 41.8% 222.0
Brynn Harshbarger 41.8% 232.0
Olivia Hill 41.8% 238.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jillian Forsey 4.1 10.5 11.1 14.5 12.6 13.5 11.5 9.2 6.5 4.0 2.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Maggie Drazba 10.8 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.3 2.6 5.0 6.7 7.7 9.8 7.5 8.2 7.4 6.2 6.0 4.5 4.1 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.7 1.9 1.2 0.9 1.1 0.8
Amy Cashin 17.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.0 4.6 5.0 4.7 5.2 5.3 5.0 5.1 5.1 4.7 4.5 3.9 4.4 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.2
Brianna Kerekes 37.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.8
Megan Yuan 40.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1
Brynn Harshbarger 49.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
Olivia Hill 57.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.1% 100.0% 1.1 1.1 1
2 13.8% 100.0% 13.8 13.8 2
3 19.1% 52.6% 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.0 9.1 10.1 3
4 25.1% 35.7% 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 2.3 16.1 9.0 4
5 32.0% 24.8% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.1 3.0 24.1 8.0 5
6 7.1% 0.7% 0.1 7.1 0.1 6
7 1.6% 1.6 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 41.8% 1.1 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.1 4.1 4.2 6.2 58.2 14.8 27.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Penn 68.6% 1.0 0.7
Villanova 62.9% 1.0 0.6
Florida 27.8% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
William and Mary 4.2% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 2.7% 2.0 0.1
Texas 2.2% 2.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Bucknell 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.9
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 7.0